The 2024 United States presidential election in Vermont took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections. Vermont voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Vermont has 3 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
Vermont was won by the Democratic nominee for the ninth time in as many presidential elections. Vice President Kamala Harris carried Vermont by nearly 32 points, a slight decrease from Joe Biden's 35-point victory four years earlier. Nonetheless, it provided Harris with her largest winning margin of any state in 2024.
Primary elections
Republican primary
The Vermont Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Nikki Haley won the primary, becoming the first woman to win a state primary in a Republican presidential primary.
Democratic primary
The Vermont Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Joe Biden won the primary.
General election
Polling
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Results
By county
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Orleans (largest municipality: Derby)
By congressional district
Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, called the at-large district because it covers the entire state, is thus equivalent to the statewide election results.
Analysis
A sparsely populated state in New England, Vermont is one of the most rural states in the nation and is considered to be deeply blue, contradicting a trend in modern American electoral politics in which rural areas tend to be red. It was historically a moderate to liberal "Yankee Republican" stronghold, having backed the GOP in all but one presidential election between the party's formation and George H. W. Bush's narrow victory in 1988, the exception being Lyndon B. Johnson's 1964 landslide. However, an influx of more liberal voters has turned Vermont into a Democratic stronghold at the presidential level since the early 1990s, as the state has been won by the Democratic candidate in every presidential race starting in 1992, all of these victories being by double digits apart from Al Gore's 9.93% win in 2000. As a measure of how Republican Vermont once was, Trump and George W. Bush are the only Republicans to have won the White House without carrying Vermont.
Despite it being Harris’s strongest state, all of the state’s counties shifted rightward. Bernie Sanders had his weakest Senate election performance in the 2024 U.S. Senate election in Vermont. Moderate Republican governor Phil Scott won in a landslide in the 2024 Vermont gubernatorial election.
Trump managed to narrowly flip Orleans County, the first time for a presidential Republican candidate since 2000, and also the first time a Republican had won any county other than Essex County since then. Vermont was once again the most Democratic state in the nation, only the second occasion in the state's history (behind 2020) in which it was the strongest for the Democrats, and the first time since 1956 in which it was the strongest state for either party in back-to-back elections.