Event

2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis

2026 geopolitical and economic crisis in Iran

Shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a major maritime choke point for world energy trade, has been largely blocked by Iran since 28 February 2026, when the United States and Israel launched an air war against Iran. In retaliation, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) issued warnings forbidding passage through the strait, boarded and attacked merchant ships, and laid sea mines in the strait. From 13 April to 29 May 2026, the US simultaneously blockaded Iranian ports. Until the war's start, about 25% of the world's seaborne oil trade and 20% of the world's liquefied natural gas (LNG) passed through the strait.

Soon after the start of the conflict, the number of tankers trafficking the strait dropped near zero. On 27 March, the IRGC announced that the strait was closed to any vessel going "to and from" the ports of the US, Israel, and their allies. The International Maritime Organization reported on 21 April that about 20,000 mariners and 2,000 ships were stranded in the Persian Gulf due to the closure. Amid fears of prolonged supply shortages, oil prices rose faster than during any other conflict in recent history; Brent crude oil prices surpassed US$100 per barrel on 8 March for the first time in four years, rising to US$126 per barrel at their peak. The largest-ever monthly increase in oil prices occurred in March 2026. The closure of the strait became the largest disruption to world energy supply since the 1970s energy crisis as well as the largest in the history of the world oil market. Other commodity markets to suffer supply disruption and price increases due to the crisis include aluminum, fertilizer, and helium.

In late March and early April, US president Donald Trump repeatedly threatened to destroy Iran's infrastructure if it did not reopen the strait. On 8 April a temporary ceasefire between Iran and the US was agreed and was to involve the reopening of the strait. However, following the failure of the Islamabad Talks, the US Navy itself began to blockade Iranian ports from 13 April. The situation was described by The Guardian as a "dual blockade", with the US Navy blockading Iran and Iran blockading the Gulf. On 17 April, Iran announced that due to an Israel–Lebanon ceasefire agreement, it would allow commercial shipping, but the US continued its blockade of Iran, and Iran reimposed restrictions. On 4 May, Trump launched Operation Project Freedom, a US Navy mission to escort merchant ships out of the Gulf. The Iranian military warned that this would be a ceasefire violation, and on 6 May, Trump paused Project Freedom because of "great progress" toward a possible agreement.

On 17 June, Trump and Iranian president Masoud Pezeshkian signed a memorandum of understanding to end the war and the blockades of the strait. On 19 June, Trump announced a renewed ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah, facilitated by the US, Qatar, and Iran. However, Israel continued strikes in southern Lebanon, and the following day, Iran said that it closed the strait again, citing the Israeli actions as a violation of the agreement, a claim denied by the US military. On 27 June, the Joint Maritime Information Center (JMIC) overseen by the US Navy announced a widened route through the Strait of Hormuz near Oman, allowing increased naval traffic in both directions and indicating a challenge to Iran's control over the waterway. On 8 July, the interim truce agreement between the US and Iran broke down after Iran struck multiple commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz. On 25 August, US officials confirmed Trump's claim that the US Navy cleared mines from the Strait of Hormuz Traffic Separation Scheme, adding that over recent months, underwater drones identified over 100 suspected mines and private contractors dealt with them. Trump stated that the US will destroy Iranian vessels laying additional mines in the Strait of Hormuz.

As of 21 October, the Middle Eastern oil exports, including shipments through the Strait of Hormuz and alternative routes, had averaged more than 24 million barrels per day in the week ending 18 October, exceeding the pre-war level of 23.3 million, according to Kpler. However, preliminary estimates put flows through Hormuz, including offshore transfers in the Gulf of Oman, at approximately 14 million barrels per day, or 82% of pre-war levels. Despite the recovery in exports, shipping costs remained high.

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