Schematic plan · The Manchurian Incident (1938-1939)

Changkufeng-Hill 52

A schematic plan, generated from the statistics of the CAA Database of Battles: the armies' size and width, the hours of fighting, the plan of attack and the outcome are as recorded; the ground and the positions are not.
Rugged, Bare groundCentreLeft wingRight wingReserveCentreLeft wingRight wingGunsReserveArmourGuns02 km4 kmN

One of the 3 engagements of the Battle of Lake Khasan recorded in the CAA Database of Battles (number 3 in date order). USSR (Sov Special Far Eastern Army(-), 20,000 men under Marshal Blucher) attacked Japan (Jap 19th Inf Div(+), 8,000 men under Lg Suetaka) in Manchuria. The CAA Database of Battles records 96 hours of fighting on a front of 6 km, a frontal attack, single envelopment, right flank against prepared defense, and that Japan held. Losses: USSR 4,000 (20%), Japan 1,100 (14%).

This plan is generated from those figures. It shows the shape of the battle the database describes: the size and width of the armies, the plan of attack and the outcome. It does not show where the units actually stood.

The armies

USSR

Marshal Blucher

UnitArmMen
USSR left wingInfantry4,200
USSR centreInfantry5,600
USSR right wingInfantry4,200
USSR reserveInfantry3,500
USSR artillery (100 guns)Artillery1,500
USSR armour (200 tanks)Armour1,000
Marshal BlucherCommander—
In this plan20,000

Japan

Lg Suetaka

UnitArmMen
Japan left wingInfantry1,787
Japan centreInfantry2,382
Japan right wingInfantry1,787
Japan reserveInfantry1,489
Japan artillery (37 guns)Artillery555
Lg SuetakaCommander—
In this plan8,000

What the sources report

USSRJapan
Strength, this plan20,0008,000
Losses, this plan4,0001,100

In the CAA Database of Battles

CDB90 no. 258, “Changkufeng-Hill 52”, compiled for the US Army to study what decides battles. These are the figures a what-if engine can be calibrated against.

Fighting
96 hours
Winner
the defender
Terrain
Rugged, Bare
Weather
Dry, Sunny, Temperate, Summer, Temperate
Defender’s posture
Prepared defense
Front width
6 km (attacker), 6 km (defender)
ForceStrengthLossesHorseGunsPlan and outcome
USSRattacker20,0004,0000100Frontal attack; Single envelopment; Right flank; Repulse; Penetration; Stalemate
Japandefender8,0001,100037Defensive/offensive plan; Withdrew

Attacker’s advantages air superiority +1

CDB90 (US Army Concepts Analysis Agency, 1990), tidy edition by Jeffrey B. Arnold; data under ODC-BY 1.0.

Notes

On this reconstruction

Generated automatically from the statistics in CDB90. Frontages, depths, distances, the order of events and the terrain are schematic: they follow the recorded strengths, front widths, hours of fighting, tactical plan and outcome, not maps or accounts of the battle. The sources give no hours; the timing is conjectural.

Sources

Facts gathered from Wikidata (CC0), Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0) and Wikimedia Commons (licence per file); the plan and its text are timeastra’s own.